• Kyle Chap DPT

ACL Tears & Hit Rates Pt.2: Tight Ends

Twitter: @DoctorChapFF

We are back with part two of the statistical analysis of ACL tears from 2013-2019 featuring the tight end position. This list is a lot more limited than the WR/RB committee, however, we can still paint a picture of what occurs.

  • 20 ACL Tears

  • 5 Rookies (4 of them UDFA)

  • No UDFA Rookie played another snap (100%)

  • 0 Rookies have “hit” since injury (0%)

  • 5 players have “hit” in a season prior to ACL Tear (5/15): 33%

  • 2 players have “hit” in a season following ACL Tear (TE14 or >) (2/19): 10.5%

  • 3 players showed improvement from pre-ACL season to post ACL season (all non-rookies included): 3/15: (20%)

  • 13 Players have not played another snap in the NFL since injury (13/20): 65%

Okay okay, this looks extremely daunting at first and that’s because the UDFA class is muddying the already limited statistics over the past 8 years. For that reason, I will give be excluding the UDFA ACL Tear class prior to diving in any further (although I will need to include it again later for Blake Jarwin purposes)



TE ACL TEARS (EXCLUDING UDFA) SINCE 2013

  • 9 ACL Tears

  • 1 Rookie

  • Has not “hit” in the NFL (or even come close)

  • 4 Players have “hit” in a season prior to ACL Tear (4/8): 50%

  • 2 Players have “hit” in a season following ACL Tear (TE 14 or >) (2/9): 22%

  • 2 players showed improvement from pre-ACL season to post ACL season (all non-rookies included): (3/8): (37.5%)

  • 4 Players have not played another snap in the NFL since injury (4/9): 44.4%

Now, just like part one of the ACL tear statistical analysis, I will be breaking this down by a range of round drafted, and then by age.

UDFA

  • 11 ACL Tears

  • 4 Rookies

  • None have played a single snap since (100%)

  • 0 players “hit” in a season prior to ACL Tear (0/7): 0%

  • 0 have “hit” in a season following ACL Tear (TE14 or >) (0/11): 0%

  • 0 players showed improvement from pre-ACL season to post ACL season (all non-rookies included): (0%)

  • 8 Players have not played another snap in the NFL since injury (9/11): 81.8%

Notable Players: Tim Wright (hit prior to tearing) & Derek Carrier



Rounds 7-4

  • 4 ACL Tears

  • 0 Rookies

  • 0 players “hit in a season prior to ACL Tear (0/4): 0%

  • 0 have “hit” in a season following ACL Tear (TE14 or >) (0/4): 0%

  • 1 player showed improvement from pre-ACL season to post ACL season (all non-rookies included) (1/4): 25%

  • 2 players have not played another snap in the NFL since injury (2/4): 50%

Notable Players: Jake Butt & James O’Shaughnessy


Typical “hit” rate (TOP 12) by Round:

Round 7: 0%

Round 6: 14%

Round 5: 16%

Round 4: 26.09%



Rounds 3-1

  • 5 ACL Tears

  • 1 Rookie

  • Played the following season, never “hit” (or came close)

  • 4 players “hit” in a season prior to ACL Tear (TE14 or >) (4/5): 80%

  • 2 have “hit” in a season following ACL Tear (TE14 or >) (2/5): 40%

  • 2 players showed improvement from pre-ACL season to post ACL season (all non-rookies included) (2/4): 50%

  • 2 Players never played another snap in the NFL since injury (2/4): 50%

Notable Players: Dustin Keller (Never played another snap), Gronk (HIT), Hunter Henry (HIT), Jeff Heuerman, Brandon Pettigrew (Never played another snap)


Typical “hit” rate (TOP 12) by Round:

Round 3: 27.27%

Round 2: 44.44%

Round 1: 93.33%


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AGE RANGE

22-23

  • 8 ACL Tears

  • 5 Rookies

  • 4 have never played another snap (4/5): 80%

  • 0 Rookies have “hit” in a season following ACL Tear (TE14 or >) (0/5): 0%

  • 0 players “hit” in a season prior to ACL Tear (TE14 or >) (0/8): 0%

  • 0 players have “hit” in a season following ACL Tear (TE14 or >) (0/8): 0%

  • 0 player showed improvement from pre-ACL season to post ACL season (all non-rookies included) (0/8): 0%

  • 6 Players never played another snap in the NFL since injury (6/8): 75%


24-26

  • 9 ACL Tears

  • 0 Rookies

  • 3 players “hit” in a season prior to ACL Tear (TE14 or >) (3/9): 33%

  • 2 players have “hit” in a season following ACL Tear (TE14 or >) (2/9): 22%

  • 2 players showed improvement from pre-ACL season to post ACL season (all non-rookies included) (2/9): 22%

  • 4 Players never played another snap in the NFL since injury (4/9): 44%

27+

  • 3 ACL Tears

  • 0 Rookies

  • 2 players “hit” in a season prior to ACL Tear (TE14 or >) (2/3): 66.67%

  • 0 players have “hit” in a season following ACL Tear (TE14 or >) (0/3): 0%

  • 1 player showed improvement from pre-ACL season to post ACL season (all non-rookies included) (1/3): 33.33%

  • 2 Players never played another snap in the NFL since injury (2/3): 66.67%

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Summary

  • Long story short, Rob Gronkowski and Hunter Henry are the only two players who produced a Top 14 Tight end season in the NFL following an ACL Tear since 2013.

  • 0 players who hadn’t “hit” in the NFL prior to having an ACL tear have hit following an ACL Tear (Rookies included)

  • The data is obviously limited, but this is 7 years' worth of statistics here.


Players to keep in mind:

  • Blake Jarwin

  • Round Drafted: UDFA

  • Age when tore ACL- 26

  • Has he “hit” before – No