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Week 4 - DFS Values & Prop Bets

Twitter: @philip_darrow & @ScottWill2909


  • Last Week’s W-L (finish top 12 in ppg for the W)

  • Andy (3-6) [overall 11-24] / Phil (2-7) [overall 9-18]


We are back to look towards the main slate on Sunday for our DFS value pieces. Last week was rough for me again [Phil] and Andy has taken the lead in the win column. We both look to rebound this week with some great upcoming matchups.


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Quarterbacks-


Jalen Hurts vs Kansas City -$6900 Andy


The Chiefs just gave up back-to-back quarterback two (overall) finishes to Lamar Jackson and Justin Herbert, and I like Hurts’ chances of finishing as a top option like he has done every week this season so far. Will he rebound from the Deuce he dropped to throw 2 TDs?


Taylor Heinicke vs Atlanta- $5900 Andy


Heinicke has steadily gone about his business, finishing inside of the top 12 during the last two weeks, putting up some excellent numbers in the process. If you can pair him with a Terry McLaurin/Logan Thomas, this could be a nice under-the-radar stack.


Kirk Cousins vs Cleveland - $6400 Phil


Cousins is quietly playing well and averaging 26.1 ppg, with his lower cost, a great play to finish top 10 again. Cleveland is a tough matchup but both teams should score and push the ball.


Sam Darnold vs Dallas - $6000 Phil


The renaissance continues for another QB away from Adam Gase. With no CMC, Darnold will look to throw more and likely rush for another TD. In this matchup I expect the points to flow. But will he throw a TD this weekend?

Running Backs-


Derrick Henry vs Jets- $8800 Andy


This seems obvious. However, at below $9000, adding that he is now catching passes, and AJ Brown could be out this weekend; it all seems to point to Henry being an absolute smash play once again. Will he clear the 100-yard mark? With the Jets losing their top Safety it seems like King Kenry should reign again.


David Montgomery vs Detroit- $5800 Andy


Surely the Bears can’t be as bad as they were last week. With Fields likely in again at QB, I can see the team attempting to lean on the running game more than they did last week.


Saquon Barkley vs New Orleans - $6700 Phil


While I know New Orleans D is good, Barkley is starting to look like his old self and is undervalued for now.


D’Andre Swift vs Chicago - $6200 Phil


Swift is getting healthy and now should start seeing an even larger workload. He is already averaging 20 ppg and should only see his numbers jump moving forward.


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Wide Receivers-


Odell Beckham Jr vs Vikings- $5800 Andy


Beckham should have a favorable matchup this week, and with Landry still out of action, he should see plenty of volume from Mayfield to make him a useable option in DFS this weekend. Will he get his first TD since Week 4 of 2020?


DJ Moore vs Dallas- $6600 Andy


This year, Moore has been outstanding and has recorded eight, eleven, and twelve targets in his three appearances. With CMC out this weekend, he could add to those high target numbers and continue to be a big play.


Emmanuel Sanders vs Miami - $4900 Phil


Sanders is building his rapport with Josh Allen who looked back on track after a rough week 2 outing. I expect them to score and often against Miami.


Justin Jefferson vs Cleveland - $7300 Phil

JJET is building off his rookie season and putting together a great start to his sophomore one. You can see him improving weekly as he gets fully healthy and trusting his body again after the scare in training camp. I like the stack with him and Cousins this week.

Tight Ends-


Logan Thomas vs Atlanta- $4900 Andy and Phil


As Andy said above when discussing Heinicke, Thomas could be a sneaky stack if you wanted to pay up in other places. He should continue to be a prominent part of the offense going forward.


Dawson Knox vs Houston $3600 Andy


Knox has recorded two forty-plus yards performances and a couple of touchdowns so far this season. It is good to see him getting more involved in this high-scoring offense, and they should be able to put up a good amount of points on the Texans.


Noah Fant vs Baltimore - $4300 Phil


With no Hamler or Jeudy, Fant moves up in the pecking order in Denver and they should have to move the ball in the air more this week against a better Baltimore team. We find out if Denver is for real and starts 4-0 now playing their first team with a win on their schedule now.

DST-


Green Bay Packers vs Pittsburgh $3300 Andy


The Steelers have not looked great on the offensive side of the ball, and the Packers could have the opportunity to put up points in this matchup.