WR Sleepers & Busts
Benjamin Shamel / @benjamm1n
This week we dive in on three sleepers and busts at the wide receiver position for the 2020 redraft season.
Wide Receiver Sleepers
DJ Chark’s ADP is currently at 5.02 which is criminally undervalued for a receiver who was a top ten receiver for most of the year last year before a dip in production towards the end of the year. Chark finished as the WR16 after spending the first 11 weeks of the year at WR5. Recency bias is a big thing in the fantasy communities and the late season injury has affected his value at the current price. Chark is the unquestioned number one receiver in Jacksonville and though the team is considered one of the worst in the league and scoring could be limited but paying WR2 value for someone who could definitely crack the top ten at the position is robbery that must be taken advantage of in drafts.
Denzel Mims could have been the one in this section if not for a recent hamstring issue but as the wide receiver corp limps along in New York Perriman has quiet potential to emerge as a leading target on the team along with Jamison Crowder. After a few lackluster years in Baltimore riddled with injuries Perriman had a bit of a Davante Parker-esce breakout towards the end of the season with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers; averaging over 100 yards and a touchdown over the final five games of the year. Sure, he had lots of opportunities to see the field with Jameis Winston under center, but he showed enough to earn a role on a Jets team that can become quite promising if Sam Darnold is able to take the next step and Adam Gase does not hold the offense back. The latter is a big if but there has not been a clear-cut leading receiver in targets in New York during Darnold’s tenure and there are lots of targets to fill in the offense with the departure of Robby Anderson.
With an ADP of 7.12 there is little to no risk when it comes to Jarvis Landry. Jarvis logged in 138 targets last season and had his highest receiving yard total during the regular season with 1174. Not many have a safer floor than Landry does in Cleveland and the potential of a more fluid offense is quite possible with the head coaching change. Even with their offensive struggles last year Landry still managed to reel in 6 touchdowns and was even more productive than Odell Beckham Jr. in their first year together as teammates.
(Photo Credit: Unkown)
Wide Receiver Busts
It would be hard pressed to find someone that produces throughout the year who gives fantasy players a bigger headache than Amari Cooper. The ups and downs are constant, and Cooper always has his periods of disappearing acts. Last year, Cooper’s fifth in the league, was his best statistical season with 1189 total yards and 8 touchdowns on 79 catches but he only had eight more catches than Michael Gallup and had plenty of games with minimal targets that could have lost many their weeks. Cooper is the epitome of the perfect receiver pick in best ball drafts, but it can be infuriating to predict which weeks Cooper will hit. The gap between Cooper and Gallup is too small to pay up for the pseudo number one option in the offense. Take Gallup three rounds later instead.
Perhaps the most underrated receiver in the league has finally started to get his flowers this off season and as a result has been climbing in ADP. The appeal of Robert Woods has always been being able to get him at a discount, but fantasy players are now having to pay full price with an ADP of 4.07 and sometimes even going before Cooper Kupp. Kupp provides much more upside potential with multi touchdown games than Robert Woods and while he has the talent he is now being drafted at his ceiling and no longer worth the investment. Woods only had two touchdowns last season and the once high-powered Rams offense is now finding a different identity. Gone is Brandin Cooks and with him potentially the three WR sets that they often ran. The Tyler Higbee hype is ever growing. Can this offense sustain yet another weapon without the influence of Todd Gurley’s rushing game and a now dwindling offensive line? A fourth-round price tag for the number 2 receiver on the team is a price too high to find out.
(Photo Credit: Getty Images)
I know. Calvin Ridley is everyone’s darling and has been dubbed this year’s Chris Godwin by the fantasy community, but the hype has reached a boiling point with an ADP in the fourth round. The appeal of Godwin was that he could have been drafted in the fifth round in most drafts and had Jameis Winston’s videogame performances to rely on. While I do project Matt Ryan to have a bounce back year, I do not foresee a thousand-yard season for Calvin Ridley like most. Ridley has great touchdown potential in this offense and can outperform his ADP with the amount of vacated targets in Atlanta after the departure of Austin Hooper, Mohamed Sanu, and Davonta Freeman but the Falcons added Hunter Hurst and Todd Gurley as well so Ridley is not going to just slide into those targets. Ridley is going ahead of Mike Evans, JuJu Smith-Shuster and Courtland Sutton which is absurd because all of those receivers have potential to see the most targets on their teams and that will not be the case for Ridley as long as he is lining up opposite Julio Jones.